BIS 2026
Brownlow Intelligence

2026 Brownlow Forecast

2026 Predicted Brownlow Race

Expected votes generated from 9,522 player-match forecasts across 207 matches.

Matches

207

Player-Match Forecasts

9,522

Expected Votes Allocated

1,242

Rolling OOT RMSE

0.355865

Nick Daicos

#1

COL

Nick Daicos

Collingwood · MID

The clear favourite for 2026.

40.03

Expected Votes

22

Projected Games

Top 5 Contenders

View Full Top 20 →
  • 1Nick Daicos

    Nick DaicosCOL

    40.03
  • 2Marcus Bontempelli

    Marcus BontempelliWBD

    29.45
  • 3Bailey Smith

    Bailey SmithGEE

    27.47
  • 4Patrick Cripps

    Patrick CrippsCAR

    26.47
  • 5Lachie Neale

    Lachie NealeBRI

    25.23

How the Race Develops

Cumulative expected votes by game for the Top 5.

  • Daicos40.03
  • Bontempelli29.45
  • Smith27.47
  • Cripps26.47
  • Neale25.23